Publications
Listed by year. You can also browse my profile on Google Scholar.
2026
Article Cornelius Erfort, Thomas Gschwend, Lukas F. Stoetzer, and Simon Munzert. 2026. "How swing model assumptions shape vote-to-seat predictions." Electoral Studies 102:103104.
Article Lisa Oswald and Simon Munzert. 2026. "Little change in a changing landscape: Tracking exposure to untrustworthy news in Germany from 2017 to 2024." Journal of Quantitative Description: Digital Media 6.
Article Cornelius Erfort, Lukas F. Stoetzer, Thomas Gschwend, Elias Koch, Simon Munzert, and Hannah Rajski. 2026. "The Zweitstimme Forecast for the German Federal Election 2025: Coalition Majorities and Vacant Districts." PS: Political Science & Politics 59(1):48–54.
2025
Article Marina Romanello, Maria Walawender, Shih-Che Hsu, Anne Moskeland, Yasna Palmeiro-Silva, et al. [incl. Simon Munzert]. 2025. "The 2025 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: climate change action offers a lifeline." Lancet 406(10521):2804–2857.
Article David Hartmann, Simon Munzert, et al. 2025. "Lost in Moderation: How Commercial Content Moderation APIs Over- and Under-Moderate Group-Targeted Hate Speech and Linguistic Variations." Proceedings of the 2025 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems (CHI '25), Yokohama, Japan.
Article Simon Munzert, Richard Traunmüller, Andrew Guess, Pablo Barberá, JungHwan Yang. 2025. "Citizen preferences for online hate speech regulation." PNAS Nexus.
Article Lukas F. Stoetzer, Cornelius Erfort, Hannah Rajski, Thomas Gschwend, Simon Munzert, Elias Koch. 2025. "An Election Forecasting Model for Subnational Elections." Electoral Studies.
2024
Article Marina Romanello, Maria Walawender, Shih-Che Hsu, Anne Moskeland, Yasna Palmeiro-Silva, et al. [incl. Simon Munzert]. 2024. "The 2024 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: facing record-breaking threats from delayed action." Lancet 404(10465):1847–1896.
Article Simon Munzert, Sebastian Ramirez-Ruiz, Pablo Barberá, Andrew Guess, JungHwan Yang. 2024. "Who's Cheating on Your Survey? A Detection Approach with Digital Trace Data." Political Science Research and Methods 12(2):390–398.
2023
Report Philipp Darius, Daniela Stockmann, Joanna Bryson, Luciana Cingolani, Rachel Griffin, Gerhard Hammerschmid, Maximilian Kupi, Haytham Mones, Simon Munzert, Rónán Riordan, Simona Stockreiter. 2023. Implementing Data Access of the Digital Services Act: Collaboration of European Digital Service Coordinators and Researchers in Building Strong Oversight over Social Media Platforms. Hertie School.
2022
Article Simon Munzert, Sebastian Ramirez-Ruiz, Basak Çalı, Lukas F. Stoetzer, Anita Gohdes, Will Lowe. 2022. "Prioritization preferences for COVID-19 vaccination are consistent across five countries." Humanities and Social Sciences Communications.
Article Marina Romanello, Claudia Di Napoli, Paul Drummond, Carole Green, Harry Kennard, Pete Lampard, Daniel Scamman, Nigel Arnell, et al. [incl. Simon Munzert]. 2022. "The 2022 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: health at the mercy of fossil fuels". Lancet 400:1619–1654.
Article Marc Helbling, Rahsaan Maxwell, Simon Munzert, Richard Traunmüller. 2022. "The importance of citizenship for deserving Covid-19 treatment." Humanities and Social Sciences Communications.
Article Lukas Stoetzer, Simon Munzert, Will Lowe, Basak Çalı, Anita Gohdes, Marc Helbling, Rahsaan Maxwell, Richard Traunmüller. 2022. "Affective partisan polarization and moral dilemmas during the COVID-19 pandemic." Political Science Research and Methods.
Article Marcel Neunhoeffer, Klara Müller, Thomas Gschwend, Simon Munzert, Lukas Stoetzer. 2022. "The Zweitstimme Model: A Dynamic Forecast of the 2021 German Federal Election." PS: Political Science and Politics 55(1):85–90.
2021
Article Marina Romanello, Alice McGushin, Claudia Di Napoli, Paul Drummond, Nick Hughes, Louis Jamart, Harry Kennard, et al. [incl. Simon Munzert]. 2021. "The 2021 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: code red for a healthy future." Lancet 398:1619–1662.
Article Andrew Guess, Pablo Barberá, Simon Munzert, and JungHwan Yang. 2021. "The consequences of online partisan media." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 118(14) e2013464118. Replication materials on GitHub
Article Sascha Göbel and Simon Munzert. 2021. "The Comparative Legislators Database." British Journal of Political Science. Accompanying package legislatoR on GitHub Preprint
Article Simon Munzert, Peter Selb, Anita Gohdes, Lukas Stoetzer, Will Lowe. 2021. "Tracking and Promoting the Usage of a COVID-19 Contact Tracing App." Nature Human Behaviour. Supplementary materials on GitHub Preprint
Article Simon Munzert and Sebastian Ramirez-Ruiz. 2021. "Meta-Analysis of the Effects of Voting Advice Applications." Political Communication. Supplementary materials on Harvard Dataverse Preprint
Article Simon Munzert, Andrew Guess, Pablo Barberá, JungHwan Yang. 2021. "Do Online Voter Guides Empower Citizens? Evidence from a Field Experiment with Digital Trace Data." Public Opinion Quarterly. Supplementary materials on Harvard Dataverse Preprint
Article Nick Watts, Markus Amann, Nigel Arnell, Sonja Ayeb-Karlsson, Jessica Beagley, Kristine Belesova, et al. [incl. Simon Munzert]. 2021. "The 2020 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: responding to converging crises." Lancet 397:129–170.
Report Simon Munzert, Myrto Papoutsi and Holger Nowak. 2021. Ein Jahr digitale Kontaktpersonennachverfolgung mit der Corona-Warn-App: Nutzung–Popularität–Verständnis. respondi AG–Hertie School Data Science Lab.
Report Simon Munzert, Myrto Papoutsi and Holger Nowak. 2021. Nutzung von digitalen Tools zur Unterstützung von COVID-19-Kontaktverfolgung. respondi AG.
2020
Article Simon Munzert and Peter Selb. 2020. "Can we directly survey adherence to non-pharmaceutical interventions? Evidence from a list experiment conducted in Germany during the early Corona pandemic." Survey Research Methods. 14(2):205–209.
Article Marcel Neunhoeffer, Thomas Gschwend, Simon Munzert, and Lukas F. Stoetzer. 2020. "Ein Ansatz zur Vorhersage der Erststimmenanteile bei Bundestagswahlen." Politische Vierteljahresschrift. 61:111–130.
Reference Simon Munzert and Dominic Nyhuis. 2020. "Web Scraping." In SAGE Research Methods Foundations, edited by P. Atkinson, S. Delamont, A. Cernat, J.W. Sakshaug, and R.A. Williams.
Chapter Simon Munzert and Dominic Nyhuis. 2020. "Die Nutzung von Webdaten in den Sozialwissenschaften," in Handbuch Methoden der Politikwissenschaft, edited by Claudius Wagemann, Achim Goerres, and Markus Siewert. Heidelberg: Springer.
2019
Article Nick Watts et al. [incl. Simon Munzert]. 2019. "The 2019 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: ensuring that the health of a child born today is not defined by a changing climate." Lancet. 394:1836–1878.
Article Lukas Stoetzer, Marcel Neunhoeffer, Thomas Gschwend, Simon Munzert, and Sebastian Sternberg. 2019. "Forecasting Elections in Multi-Party Systems: A Bayesian Approach Combining Polls and Fundamentals." Political Analysis. 27(2):255–262.
2018
Article Peter Selb and Simon Munzert. 2018. "Examining a Most Likely Case for Strong Campaign Effects: Hitler's Speeches and the Rise of the Nazi Party, 1927–1933." American Political Science Review. 112(4):1050–1066. Supplementary materials on Harvard Dataverse Preprint
Article Sascha Göbel and Simon Munzert. 2018. "Political Advertising on the Wikipedia Market Place of Information." Social Science Computer Review. 36(2):157–175. Supplementary materials on GitHub
Chapter Simon Munzert. 2018. "Auf dem Weg zu einer fundierten Softwareausbildung in der Politikwissenschaft," in Computational Social Science. Die Analyse von Big Data, edited by Andreas Blätte, Joachim Behnke, Kai-Uwe Schnapp, and Claudius Wagemann. Baden-Baden: Nomos, 379–402.
2017
Article Simon Munzert and Peter Selb. 2017. "Measuring Political Knowledge in Web-Based Surveys. An Experimental Validation of Visual Versus Verbal Instruments." Social Science Computer Review. 25(2):167–183. Supplementary materials on GitHub
2016
Article Peter Selb and Simon Munzert. 2016. "Forecasting the 2013 German Bundestag Election Using Many Polls and Historical Election Results." German Politics 25(1):73–83.
Article Michael Herrmann, Simon Munzert, and Peter Selb. 2016. "Determining the Impact of Strategic Voting on Election Results." Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A. 179(2):583–605. Supplementary materials on GitHub Post on LSE British Politics and Policy Blog
2015
Book Simon Munzert. 2015. Contributions to the Measurement of Public Opinion in Subpopulations. Konstanz: Universität Konstanz. PhD Thesis.
2014
Book Simon Munzert, Christian Rubba, Peter Meißner, and Dominic Nyhuis. 2014. Automated Data Collection with R. A Practical Guide to Web Scraping and Text Mining. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons. Website: r-datacollection.com Review in Journal of Statistical Software
Article Julian Bernauer and Simon Munzert. 2014. "Loyal to the Game? Strategic Policy Representation in Mixed Electoral Systems." Representation 50(1):83–97.
Article Simon Munzert. 2014. "Big Data in der Forschung! Big Data in der Lehre? Ein Vorschlag zur Erweiterung der bestehenden Methodenausbildung." Zeitschrift für Politikwissenschaft 24(1–2):207–222.
Chapter Susumu Shikano, Simon Munzert, Thomas Schübel, Michael Herrmann, and Peter Selb. 2014. "Eine empirische Schätzmethode der Valenz-Issues auf der Basis der Kandidatenbeurteilung am Beispiel der Konstanzer Oberbürgermeisterwahl 2012." In: André Bächtiger, Eric Linhart, and Bernhard Kittel (eds.): Jahrbuch für Handlungs- und Entscheidungstheorie 8.
Review Simon Munzert. 2014. Review of "XML and Web Technologies for Data Sciences with R," by Deborah Nolan and Duncan Temple Lang. New York: Springer. Journal of Statistical Software 61: Book Review 1.
2013
Article Simon Munzert and Paul C. Bauer. 2013. "Political Depolarization in German Public Opinion, 1980–2010." Political Science Research and Methods 1(1):67–89. Winner of the 2014 ALLBUS award for the best paper published using data from the German General Social Survey
Article Peter Selb, Michael Herrmann, Simon Munzert, Thomas Schübel, and Susumu Shikano. 2013. "Forecasting Runoff Elections Using Candidate Evaluations From First Round Exit Polls." International Journal of Forecasting 29:541–547.
Article Peter Selb and Simon Munzert. 2013. "Voter Overrepresentation, Vote Misreporting and Turnout Bias in Postelection Surveys." Electoral Studies 32(1):186–196.
2011
Article Peter Selb and Simon Munzert. 2011. "Estimating Constituency Preferences from Sparse Survey Data Using Auxiliary Geographic Information." Political Analysis 19(4):455–470. Winner of the 2014 DGfW award for the best paper published using data from the German Longitudinal Election Study
Working papers and abandoned projects
Working Simon Munzert, Julia Ellingwood, Lisa Oswald, and Richard Traunmüller. "Myside bias shapes public preferences for online content moderation."
Working Manuel Tonneau and Simon Munzert. "Social media users neither share nor universally accept the concept of hate speech that governs their expression."
Working Elias Koch, Simon Munzert, Linus Hagemann, Hannah Rajski, Thomas Gschwend, Cornelius Erfort, and Lukas Stoetzer. "Visual presentation raises trust in election polls."
Working Simon Munzert, Linus Hagemann, Elias Koch, Hannah Rajski, Thomas Gschwend, Cornelius Erfort, and Lukas Stoetzer. "Can an interactive dashboard teach polling literacy? Evidence from a large-scale experiment."
Working Sebastian Ramirez Ruiz and Simon Munzert. "Measuring scientific evidence consumption literacy for public policy with the INSPIRE inventory."
Working Simon Munzert. "Measuring Public Engagement with Climate Change and Human Health."
Working Simon Munzert. "Measuring the Importance of Political Elites."
Dormant Simon Munzert, Lea Mathies, Amin Oueslati, Pablo Barerá, Andy Guess, and JungHwan Yang. "How Citizens Learn about Political Elites."
Abandoned Andreas E. Murr and Simon Munzert. "Forecasting Turnout at UK Elections."
Abandoned Simon Munzert. "Using Wikipedia Article Traffic Volume to Measure Public Issue Attention."